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Our news system has fundamental weaknesses, and we’re paying the price like never before. In the past, we could afford to watch the nightly headlines, give a slightly cynical shrug, and then get on with our evening.

Today, though, the price of our media-cultivated apathy has grown dangerously high. Our hard-won fundamental rights and freedoms are in peril. If we aren’t careful, the news could be the burial ground for democracy. And the epitaph will be “We could have known, if journalism had only told us.”

In a changing climate, news is a weather report

The most glaring weakness of news is the fact that, exceptions notwithstanding, it’s almost always about events, snapshots in time. This has to do with a criterion referred to as timeliness: news is supposed to be about things that happened recently, at a specific point in time. A news story needs a reason to be reported today, not tomorrow or the day after or next week. Things that are happening every day – global warming, for example – don’t make the front page or the nightly news. Developments that structural, not momentary, have no “news value.” Or, to use another piece of jargon, there’s no “news peg” to hang them on.

Since news consists mainly of a series of separate, unrelated events, it grossly neglects developments taking place at a deeper level. Climate change is a good example. If there were no scientists, only journalists, this slow, invisible, unsensational problem never would have come to our attention. News is about the weather, not the climate.

As a consequence, major crises almost never show up on the news radar until it’s too late. Weeks of agonized media soul-searching invariably follow: How could we have not seen this coming? In my career as a journalist, I’ve watched three such crises unfold from inside editorial offices, complete with the inevitable question that haunted the news team afterward.

The eternal question: How did we miss this?

The first blaze to break out was the declaration of the failure of Dutch multiculturalism, signaled by the rise of anti-immigration political party leader Pim Fortuyn in 2002. A long-brewing discontent with diversity flared up, seemingly out of nowhere. Politicians in The Hague looked on in shock as the bald professor from Rotterdam shook the foundations of the status quo. Meanwhile, Dutch journalists looked in the mirror despairingly. How did we miss this? What followed was a decade of “saying the unsayable.” Today, the polls here are led by a party calling to abolish The PVV wants to deprive Muslims and people from majority-Muslim countries of freedom of expression, freedom of the press, freedom of education, freedom of religion, and the right to equal treatment.

Then came an earthquake whose epicenter lay elsewhere: Wall Street. The fall of Lehman Brothers precipitated the biggest financial crisis in 80 years. An edifice built on bubbles and credit packages, and shot through with impenetrable risks, collapsed like a house of cards. Billions were spent to save the global economy from self-inflicted destruction. And again the halls of media organizations rang with the same anguished question: Why didn’t we see it coming? Today, the big banks that brought the economy to the brink of the abyss are again registering record profits.

And then a storm blew in from rural America, with a man called Donald J. Trump at its eye. Comedians begged him to run for president; serious commentators dismissed him as not having a chance, before he even joined the race. Two hours before the election results were in, the front pages announcing the first female US president were ready to go to press. After all, the polls had been crystal-clear. And again, the same desperate look appeared in journalists’ eyes: How in the world did we get it so wrong?

The answer to this question is usually the same. A chorus of voices replies: it’s the ideological bias, stupid! The failure of multiculturalism, the collapse of the financial system, the revolt of the common man – the “liberal media,” the chorus asserts, simply refuse to see it. We turn a blind eye to whatever doesn’t fit our narrow view of the world. We’re scaredy-cats afraid to tell like it is – the Lügenpresse, or “lying press,” in the language of the Nazis and, more recently, of some Trump supporters.

My conclusion, however, is a different one. The media doesn’t notice these slowly unfolding events because journalists are taught at J-school and in the newsroom not to think about things that way. When you’re looking through a 24-hour lens, you don’t have to be a progressive to overlook the consequences of immigration, financialization, and globalization. The lens keeps you from seeing them.

What Pim Fortuyn, Lehman Brothers, and Donald Trump have in common is that they’re the sensational results of unsensationally slow events: increasing ethnic and cultural segregation, a pileup of increasingly complex financial risks, the atrophy of the Western middle class. They’re earthquakes without news pegs. Meanwhile, we fill columns and talk shows with highly visible, yet negligible, threats (like ISIS) ascribed to illusory villains (like Islam). Because terror attacks are ready-made news stories. They’re designed to be.

As the cameras focus on today, we forget the everyday. And as the press dots its I’s, no one connects the dots. And so the defining events of the age take place mostly out of view – until we hear a bang and the catastrophic results appear on our screens.

Hey, look. A dead Dutch populist just won 24 seats in Parliament.

Hey, look. A 159-year-old bank just collapsed.

Hey, look. A kleptocrat just got elected CEO of the free world.

The deadly event that’s happening now

Right now, one of those slow-mo events is under way. It’s appearing in too fragmentary a form on our screens to truly worry many people. But historians will describe it as the steady demolition and ultimate fall of every democratic institution in the West.

The free press. The independent administration of justice. Parliamentary democracy. Constitutions.

In the United States – and coming soon to a Western Europe country near you – the demolition is being carried out with fierce intensity. Anyone who sees this as the hasty or biased conclusion of a leftwing Amsterdam journalist and believes we should “wait and see what Trump will do” is stone-blind to the transformation taking place. The United States is being turned into a A kleptocratic autocracy is a form of government in which state power is appropriated for the self-enrichment of an authoritarian leader and his inner circle. as we speak.

All the signs are right there in front of us. And they reveal a clear two-step plan.

Step 1: Threaten the free press and sow doubt about what’s true

During his campaign, Trump openly kept “Trump Has a Media Blacklist. If You’re a Journalist, You Should Get on It,” advised The Huffington Post. a blacklist of news organizations and threatened to toughen laws which could muzzle Yes, the threat will be hard to carry out, but the fact that Trump’s voiced it is highly worrisome, The Nation argued. critical media outlets. He hasn’t dialed back the threats since the inauguration.

Trump has appointed as a close advisor the billionaire Peter Thiel, a man who sued the online publication Gawker into Forbes’ timeline tracks how Trump advisor Peter Thiel used a lawsuit to destroy the website Gawker. bankruptcy out of personal vindictiveness. The president lashes out daily at media organizations not favorably disposed toward him, satirical TV shows included. He boycotts critical reporters at his news conferences and threatens to “The Trump Administration May Evict the Press from the White House,” sources told Esquire. ban members of the media from the White House entirely. In the first week of his regime, six journalists were “Six journalists arrested in DC. while covering Trump protests,” The Washington Times reported. arrested while reporting on anti-Trump protests.

And the president has appointed Steve Bannon as his chief strategist – the highest advisor in the White House with the most agenda-setting power. Multimillionaire Bannon is a founding board member and the former head of Breitbart News, a far-right website that fabricated and spread wild conspiracy theories daily during his tenure. Bannon has since named his primary target. “The media here is the opposition party,” he said, and it “should … “Trump Strategist Stephen Bannon Says Media Should ‘Keep Its Mouth Shut,’” The New York Times reported. keep its mouth shut.”

This statement deserves to be taken seriously as an outright declaration of war. The First Amendment of the US Constitution, which guarantees freedom of speech, doesn’t “Don’t Expect the First Amendment to Protect the Media,” The New York Times wrote. shield the press nearly as robustly as people tend to assume, as law professors RonNell Jones and Sonja West point out.

And the press doesn’t even need to be hobbled to become irrelevant. Undermining its credibility will be enough. Trust in the media is already woefully low in the US – and it’s not much better in other Western democracies. Let’s be honest: in large part, the click-hungry, ad-driven, sensationalist, trivia-obsessed media have themselves to blame.

But Donald Trump has used existing mistrust to create a whole new reality. By systematically flip-flopping and demonstrably lying, he confuses the public to the extent that in the face of controversy, people start doubting the truth. Users of this manipulation tactic, known as gaslighting, aim to create uncertainty in individuals or groups by consistently denying accusations, contradicting themselves, and lying until their targets doubt their own sanity.

Do this long enough and many people will eventually lose their bearings entirely regarding who and what to believe. Here’s a good illustration. The Washington Post recently took a group of 1,388 US adults and asked half of them which of two pictures showed Trump’s inauguration: the one with the “This is what Trump voters said when asked to compare his inauguration crowd with Obama’s,” reported The Washington Post. larger or smaller crowd?

Forty percent of Trump voters answered incorrectly. More significantly, after the second group was told which photo showed which inauguration, 15% of the Trump voters in that group told researchers the photo on the left showed more people than the one on the right. They simply denied their own perceptions in order to maintain the fiction that Trump had drawn a bigger crowd.

This is precisely the effect gaslighting aims at. If you keep repeating “alternative facts” – as Trump advisor Kellyanne Conway called them – long enough, those “facts” start becoming reality. Or, in the words of Friedrich Nietzsche, posthumously embraced as a source of inspiration by Nazi propaganda minister Joseph Goebbels: “Truth is a mobile army of metaphors ... [that] after long use seem solid, canonical, and binding to a nation.”

It’s hard to imagine a more effective strategy for undermining the institution of the free press in the long term. After all, once there’s no longer any shared reality, a media outlet can no longer be defined as truthful. Think of a sports tournament in which everyone believes their own team leads the rankings – play itself becomes impossible. The same is true of the “game” of politics in a democracy.

Step 2: Dismantle the government and install a kleptocracy

A society permeated by mistrust of “the media” and devoid of belief in a shared reality provides the perfect conditions for dismantling democratic institutions. And all the indications are that that’s what Trump is doing.

  • As a candidate in the 2012 presidential election, Energy Secretary Rick Perry, 66, was Texas’ longest-serving governor. He blew his chances in the 2012 presidential election partly with an infamous gaffe during the Republican debates. “It is three agencies of government when I get there that are gone,” he said. “Commerce, Education, and the – what’s the third one there? Let’s see.” He continued to flounder, then admitted, “I can’t. The third one, I can’t. Sorry. Oops.” He was talking about the Department of Energy. Rufus and Bart have written about Perry (in Dutch only). Trump’s appointee for Energy secretary, promised to abolish the department he will now control.
  • As Oklahoma’s attorney-general, EPA appointee Scott Pruitt, 48, formed an alliance with the fossil-fuel industry to try to block Obama’s climate legislation and sued the EPA. Rufus and Bart have written about Pruitt (in Dutch only). Trump’s pick to head the Environmental Protection Agency, is a climate denier who’s suing the very agency he’s being put in charge of, in an effort to reverse environmental regulations.
  • Carson, 65, is awaiting confirmation as Secretary of HUD. Rufus and Bart have written about him (in Dutch only). tapped to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development, called the job HUD was created to do “not the government’s responsibility.”
  • DeVos, 58, would be the richest member of the Trump cabinet. She comes from a wealthy background, and her husband is heir to a fortune. She has no experience as a teacher or administrator in higher education and supports tax breaks for private school tuition. Rufus and Bart wrote about DeVos. Trump’s pick for Education secretary, gave $1.5 million to a lobbying group that favors deregulating education in Michigan and is one of the country’s foremost ideological opponents of public schools.
  • Sessions, 70, is the new attorney-general. His acting predecessor, Sally Yates, was fired on Monday after she refused to back his immigration ban. Trump’s attorney-general and the person in charge of safeguarding civil rights, allegedly called a white lawyer who represented black clients a “disgrace to [his] race” and said he had no problem with the Ku Klux Klan “until I found out they smoked pot.”
  • Bannon, 63, holds the position of White House chief strategist – a role Trump created for him. He was a founding board member and later executive chair of Breitbart News, the conspiracy-mongering far-right website. the top advisor in Trump’s cabinet, is a self-described Leninist and open advocate of the "Lenin wanted to destroy the state, and that’s my goal, too. I want to bring everything crashing down, and destroy all of today’s establishment," aldus Bannon. destruction of the US state.

Dismantling the government would deliver two overarching advantages for a kleptocratic autocracy – the term for a society in which state power is appropriated for the self-enrichment of an authoritarian leader and his inner circle.

First, the availability of the facts relied on by scientists, journalists, and other professionals working on behalf of the public will further decrease. Government institutions not only carry out policy, they also produce much of the research it’s based on. Shutting them down will clear a path for flooding the public domain with “alternative facts” – a proven formula of autocratic regimes the world over.

Second, dismantling the public sector will grease the way for the transfer of taxpayer property to private individuals. For a model of how to plunder the public purse for private profit, look no further than post-Soviet Russia, the state Trump so admires, where oligarchs made fortunes out of the privatization of former state companies.

There are enough signs pointing to such a scenario in the US that we can no longer call it a conspiracy theory.

Donald Trump is a real estate magnate, and his two biggest campaign promises revolve around construction projects. He’s pledged to rebuild the national infrastructure and erect a 1,000-mile wall along the Mexican border. The first leaked details of the plans reveal a financing structure based on tax credits that would funnel huge sums to private contractors with scant Economist Dean Baker explains how Trump’s infrastructure plans are set up to enrich the private building industry with little oversight. oversight of how the funds are used. The man charged with guarding against potential conflicts of interest between Trump’s business interests and the US government, George Sorial, is no independent party, but a lawyer The man hired to watch for conflicts of interest has worked for the Trump Organization for a decade, Politico reported. employed by Trump’s company since 2007. Trump Hotels’ CEO has already announced a “The Trump Organization Is Already Dreaming of Expanding, Big League,” reported. major expansion as a prelude to building 21 more hotels in US cities. Trump’s estate and private club, Mar-a-Lago in Florida, doubled its membership fees to $200,000 the day after its “Mar-a-Lago membership fee doubles to $200,000,” CNBC reported. owner was elected president.

Meanwhile, Trump hasn’t sold off his business interests but has transferred them to immediate family members: his sons. In contrast to every president since 1970, he “President Donald Trump Will Not Release His Tax Returns,” reported. refuses to release his tax returns. During the campaign, he acknowledged avoiding paying taxes to the tune of tens of millions and retorted, “Trump brags about not paying taxes: ‘That makes me smart’” (CNBC). "That makes me smart." His sons have tried to raise money for their own nonprofit by promising donors See the documents promising access to Trump in exchange for donations. access to their father in exchange for $1 million.

And the cherry on the kleptocratic cake: Steve Mnuchin, Trump’s pick for Treasury secretary – the role would put him in charge of the IRS and give him the authority to loan money on the government’s behalf – set up his own hedge fund and used it to snap up a Marie Claire has more on Treasury nominee Steve Mnuchin’s background. bailed-out bank for a song during the financial crisis. He then made a tidy profit by forcing tens of thousands of homeowners into Under Mnuchin’s leadership, a 90-year-old woman lost her house for being 27 cents in arrears (Politico). bankruptcy In short, Mnuchin is a man who knows a thing or two about siphoning public funds into his own pocket.

How the news cycle keeps us numb

Every one of these signs of a Political scientist Yonatan Zunger sounds the alarm in an excellent piece on Medium. dawning kleptocracy has been in the news. But almost all of them have appeared in separate reports by different media outlets. So it’s hard to descry the connection between them, and it’s still easy to silence critics who cry “coup” with a bland, “Wait and see.”

After all, any individual report can be qualified or seen as “not that bad.” In a similar vein, the rise of fascism in Germany didn’t seem acute enough to cause widespread alarm until it passed the point of no return.

News produces a serial, short-lived outrage at best – a daily dose of “WTF?!” that quickly ebbs away until the next news cycle rolls around. Anyone who follows what’s going on in Washington will recognize this water-cooler conversation:

  • '“Did you hear what Trump just did?”
  • “Yep. Unbelievable!”
  • “Then again, I heard it wasn’t true.”
  • “Really? Wow.”
  • “Yeah. Hard to say.”
  • “Hmm. Wonder how it’ll end.”

The problem with this kind of outrage is that it never adds up. It just spikes and levels out again. And this repetitiveness is the ideal mechanism for causing fatigue, desensitization, and ultimately apathy. News, then, creates the perfect emotional climate in which fascist, autocratic, and kleptocratic movements can thrive. News is the cradle in which democratic resistance is rocked to sleep.

So it’s no surprise that debate is raging among journalists in the US – and Europe – over how to deal with Trump. Some seek salvation in increased fact-checking; others think the solution is to pay him less attention; still others see activist journalism as the answer.

All those suggestions have their merits, but I don’t think they go far enough. The problem with contemporary news runs far too deep to be solved with more facts, selective attention, or sporadic opposition. Stopping the steady demolition of democracy is going to take more than that.

It’s arguably even more urgent now that Trumplike forces are gaining prominence in Europe. In the Netherlands, one political party consistently leads the polls. It has a single member, its autocratic leader. It keeps its financing a secret. And it seeks to deprive more than 850,000 people in the Netherlands of their freedom of speech, of the press, of education, and of religion, and to take away their right to equal treatment.

Four ways we can make journalism serve democracy

The time has come for the traditional news media to drop some long-cherished dogmas.

First, the business model. As long as news outlets keep depending on ad revenue, they will continue to function as purveyors of human attention, essentially selling their readers to advertisers – and the basic product won’t ever truly change. The benefits of nurturing daily outrage devoid of consequences will be too great to turn down. Only news organizations funded primarily by subscribers can truly change this, because the nature of their product is genuinely different. Subscriber-funded news isn’t an attention-grabber in an eyeball economy but a social service in a civil society.

Second, competition. As long as the news media keep seeing each other as opponents in the war for attention, deep-rooted reflexes – like the drive to be first, to keep scoops to yourself, and a general mistrust of cooperation – will endure. But cooperation on more than just an occasional basis is, above all else, what developments of such massive scope and far-reaching consequences call for. The news media – local, regional, national, and global – must combine forces to be capable of piecing together a puzzle this complex. No reporter or editorial team can do it alone.

Third, objectivity. As long as the news media cling to the idea that “staying neutral” and “not taking a position” are the journalistic holy grail, they’ll leave the judgments on current events to the historians. Instead, the media should practice reverse historiography. That is, we should formulate hypotheses for things we see strong but not-yet-definitive indications of, and we should use those hypotheses to attempt to link the puzzle pieces we call news reports into a larger whole. Remember Michael Burry is a California man who gambled on the collapse of the mortgage market. He was one of the few to notice that mortgages in arrears were often resold, bundled into financial packages that carried enormous risk. Michael Lewis’s book The Big Short and the film of the same name are based on his story. the guy who predicted the implosion of the US housing market and the 2008 financial crisis? He did it not by watching rates go up and down, but by informed speculation on the housing bubble that was being created. And what’s true of economic bubbles is true of democratic ones: you can only see them pop if you realize they’re there. Fascism never announces itself.

Fourth, formats. As long as news outlets continue to think in terms of traditional genres like spot news, editorials, and features, the information they produce will stay fragmentary instead of adding up to form a bigger picture. We need a way of making news cumulative. Instead of separate reports of individual events, we need to think in terms of a documentation process that will eventually allow patterns to be identified. Only in this way can we truly build a defense against accusations of bias and sensationalism – and only in this way will we stand a chance of seeing apathy morph into sustained resistance.

As an ad-free, member-supported, explicitly subjective news outlet that focuses on structures rather than incidents, The Correspondent is working to build this format. But antidemocratic forces have grown too powerful for a little Dutch media organization to make a difference. We welcome others’ help. Everything is at stake.

Remember the scene in Back To The Future where Marty saves his friend Dr. Emmett Brown’s life, and his tombstone in the photograph vanishes?

It’s not too late to do the same thing for democracy.

—Translated from Dutch by Laura Martz and Erica Moore

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